Official Cash Rate (OCR) now at 3%
What a difference a year makes with 2.5% shaved off the OCR in 12 months since August 2024.
Since the aftermath of Covid we saw the OCR peak at 5.5% in May 23 where it sat for 15 months to Aug 2024 while inflation and related matters settled down.
Easing 7 times in 12 months, on 20th Aug 2025 the OCR eased a further 0.25% to arrive now at 3% being long considered the neutral rate of neither restrictive nor stimulative Monetary Policy, a significant target and milestone in the recovery journey.
That means that once everything catches up and mortgages refix onto the new lower rates, that significant easing flows through the economy with 2.5% representing around $350 FN on a $500k, 25 year mortgage.
As those incremental changes start to become meaningful, so too does the economy start to turn which is where we’re at right now … like a cruise ship slowly turning direction and as confidence builds on the turn, pulling away and building up a head of steam to power away in the right direction creating demand and bringing GDP, employment and house prices with it.
From here, all indicators are pointing to further cuts through the year to maybe as far as 2.5% OCR taking us slightly into stimulative territory, just enough to give us the boost we need to really get going through the rest of the year and into 2026 while maintaining a steady hand at the wheel in light of geopolitical factors at play.
Click here for the official OCR announcement.
Click here to see the historic OCR rates chart and announcements.
For more on the above, click on the link below